The 4 percent rule is not safe in a low-yield world

MS Finke, WD Pfau, D Blanchett - Available at SSRN 2201323, 2013 - papers.ssrn.com
The safety of a 4% initial withdrawal strategy depends on asset return assumptions. Using
historical averages to guide simulations for failure rates for retirees spending an inflation …

Safe savings rates: A new approach to retirement planning over the lifecycle

WD Pfau - Journal of Financial Planning, 2011 - papers.ssrn.com
Focusing on a “safe withdrawal rate” and then deriving a “wealth accumulation target” to
achieve by the retirement date may not be the best way to approach retirement planning …

Can We Predict the Sustainable Withdrawal Rate for New Retirees?

WD Pfau - 2011 - mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de
I investigate how well market valuation and yield measures predict the maximum
sustainable withdrawal rate (MWR) that a person can use with their retirement savings to …

Retirement Withdrawal Rates and Portfolio Success Rates: What Can the Historical Record Teach Us?

WD Pfau - Retirement Management Journal, 2011 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper investigates whether the safety of the 4% rule achieved with an aggressive asset
allocation is an appropriate conclusion to draw from the historical record. According to Dr …

Are Safe Withdrawal Rates Really Safe?

TR Tresidder - Journal of Personal Finance, 2012 - search.ebscohost.com
Abstract Retirees in 1921, 1966, and 2010 have little in common. Each faced a different life
expectancy and invested in a different economic climate with varying inflation expectations …

The great suppression: actions and implications for gold investors

CFA Amy Hubble - Journal of Financial Planning, 2018 - search.proquest.com
This research explored the traditional role of gold as an inflation hedge under the economic
backdrop of low interest rates and low inflation, specifically during the era of 2008 to 2017 …

Predicting Sustainable Retirement Withdrawal Rates Using Valuation and Yield Measures

WD Pfau - Available at SSRN 1726225, 2010 - papers.ssrn.com
This study attempts to quantify whether a 4 percent withdrawal rate can still be considered
as safe for US retirees in recent years when earnings valuations have been at historical …

[CITATION][C] Wade D. Pfau, Ph. D., an associate professor at the National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies in Tokyo, Japan, holds a doctorate in economics from …