RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 A Simple Test of Market Efficiency
Using Management Forecasts in Japan JF The Journal of Investing FD Institutional Investor Journals SP 40 OP 46 DO 10.3905/joi.2013.22.2.040 VO 22 IS 2 A1 Peter Xu YR 2013 UL https://pm-research.com/content/22/2/40.abstract AB Management forecasts in Japan provide important information about companies’ future earnings. Although some analysts revise their estimates immediately following a management forecast, many others take days and weeks to do so, making their revisions predictable for a period of time after a management forecast. Investors seem to underreact to the predictability of those estimate revisions, and betting on how analysts’ stale estimates will be revised can generate excess returns even after controlling for earnings estimates that have already been revised.TOPICS: Fundamental equity analysis, developed